ABAG is responsible for forecasting changes to the Bay Area population and economy to help local governments prepare for an ever-changing environment. Plan Bay Area 2050+ was adopted by the ABAG Executive Board and the Metropolitan Transportation Commission in March 2026, and the Plan Bay Area 2050+ Growth Pattern shows the plan’s projected household and job growth at the regional, county and sub-county levels looking out to 2050.

Forecast and Modeling Report

For details on the Regional Growth Forecast, please refer to the Plan Bay Area 2050+ Forecasting and Modeling Report, specifically Chapter 2 Regional Growth Forecast.

Forecast and Modeling Data

In addition, data resources accompanying Plan Bay Area 2050+ are available. Before downloading data, please review the technical notes, which contain important information on the methodology and limitations of each dataset.

• Regional Growth Forecast: regional total population, households, employment and housing units available for years 2020, 2025, 2030, 2035, 2040, 2045 and 2050.
• Sub-Regional Growth Forecast: households and employment by county and super-district available for years 2023 and 2050.
• Transportation Analysis Zone (TAZ) Land Use: localized land use data, mainly for travel modeling purposes and not a formally approved plan deliverable available for years 2023, 2035 and 2050.

For additional information on the growth forecast, please refer to the following documents prepared for the Draft Plan Bay Area 2050+: Summary of Public Feedback, from the February 13, 2026 Joint MTC Planning Committee with the ABAG Administrative Committee, Agenda Item 8a.

• Plan Bay Area 2050+: Draft Plan Engagement Findings
• Plan Bay Area 2050+: Meeting Handout on the Regional Growth Forecast